Brief by Shorts91 Newsdesk / 03:12am on 09 Feb 2025,Sunday Science
The probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in 2032 has risen to 1 in 43, according to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies. The 196-foot-wide asteroid was first discovered in December 2024. Renowned asteroid hunter David Rankin precovered it using Catalina Sky Survey data. Initially, the impact probability was 1 in 83, but the latest calculation suggests a 2.3% chance of a strike. Rankin, however, reassured that there remains a 97.7% chance of a miss. Scientists expect further observations to refine predictions, potentially lowering the risk. Experts emphasize continued monitoring but advise against panic.
